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A stormy setup late this week is giving model guidance fits and making meteorologists pull their hair out. A lot of details still to be ironed out regarding timing and location of highest rainfall amounts, but we need to monitor the flash flood risk into this weekend.
The signal is increasing for hot spots of 5-10+ inches over the next 5 days across parts of the Deep South. We need the rain desperately to help with ongoing drought, but too much of a good thing will likely cause flood concerns.
It won't be a non-stop deluge, but expect daily chances for storms.
Thursday: Spotty to scattered storms with passage of the front. Not a washout.
Friday: Stalled front likely to fire up intermittent heavy storms along the I/10 corridor.
Saturday-early Sunday: More vigorous disturbance may increase rain coverage and heavy rain risk.